invest.fail
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Building your alternate timeline…
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Building your alternate timeline…
The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
The winter. An 80% drawdown — the year everyone learned what volatility means on the way down.
$100 on 2018-01-01, worth today
US$454
As of 7 June 2026, $100 of Bitcoin bought at 2018's open (US$13,796) is worth US$454 — 4.54×.
live valuation · refreshed hourly · usd
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| US$100 | US$454 | 4.54× |
| US$1,000 | US$4,544 | 4.54× |
| US$10,000 | US$45,441 | 4.54× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, valued at the live price. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
Opened
US$13,796
2018-01-01
Peaked
US$17,156
2018-01-07
Bottomed
US$3,232
2018-12-16
Closed
US$3,865
2018-12-31
US$44,000 deployed as $100 a week from 2018-01-01, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | US$199,940 |
| Steady weekly buys | US$175,564 |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | US$111,208 |
| Traded it perfectly | US$8.1M |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
Your amount, your date, your certificate. Takes about a minute.
Calculate my regretAdjacent timelines
← Bitcoin in 2017·Bitcoin in 2019 →
From the Archive
The Pizza — 10,000 BTC, 2010·The Missing Fifth — how much BTC is lost
It's not too late to start.
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offers last verified 2026-06-07