The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) in 2000?
Buying the Nasdaq-100 at the dot-com peak meant riding it down roughly 83% over the next two years — and waiting until 2014-15 to break even. The cautionary tale the tech-ETF brochures never print.
$100 on 2000-01-03, worth today
US$902
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) bought at 2000's open (US$79.93) is worth US$902 — 9.02×.
total return · dividends reinvested · USD
How much would $100 of Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) bought in 2000 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| US$100 | US$902 | 9.02× |
| US$1,000 | US$9,025 | 9.02× |
| US$10,000 | US$90,249 | 9.02× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) do in 2000?
Opened
US$79.93
2000-01-03
Peaked
US$99.33
2000-03-27
Bottomed
US$47.02
2000-12-20
Closed
US$49.24
2000-12-29
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
US$138,000 deployed as $100 a week from 2000-01-03, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | US$1.2M |
| Steady weekly buys | US$1.7M |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | US$973,407 |
| Traded it perfectly | US$3.7M |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
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