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The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
The long-promised Alonzo upgrade finally brought smart contracts in September, and ADA touched US$3 on the anticipation — the peak it has measured itself against ever since. A year of patient holders briefly vindicated before the wider tide went out. The Bureau records that being early and being right are not always the same trade.
$100 on 2021-01-01, worth today
US$89
As of 28 July 2026, $100 of Cardano bought at 2021's open (US$0.180) is worth US$89 — 0.89×.
live valuation · refreshed hourly · usd
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| US$100 | US$89 | 0.89× |
| US$1,000 | US$889 | 0.89× |
| US$10,000 | US$8,889 | 0.89× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, valued at the live price. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
Opened
US$0.180
2021-01-01
Peaked
US$2.97
2021-09-03
Bottomed
US$0.180
2021-01-01
Closed
US$1.31
2021-12-31
US$29,100 deployed as $100 a week from 2021-01-01, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | US$25,867 |
| Steady weekly buys | US$10,009 |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | US$8,939 |
| Traded it perfectly | US$470,192 |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
$1,000 at 2021's open, each valued live. Hindsight remains undefeated.
Your amount, your date, your certificate. Takes about a minute.
Calculate my regretAdjacent timelines
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