The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought CSL in 2020?
CSL opened 2020 around $277, by then one of the largest companies on the ASX and supposedly priced for perfection. The pandemic complicated plasma collection, yet the blood-products giant remained the quiet engine of countless Australian portfolios.
$100 on 2020-01-01, worth today
A$43
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of CSL bought at 2020's open (A$251.23) is worth A$43 — 0.43×.
total return · dividends reinvested · AUD
How much would $100 of CSL bought in 2020 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| A$100 | A$43 | 0.43× |
| A$1,000 | A$428 | 0.43× |
| A$10,000 | A$4,279 | 0.43× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did CSL do in 2020?
Opened
A$251.23
2020-01-01
Peaked
A$311.48
2020-02-18
Bottomed
A$247.90
2020-07-31
Closed
A$261.27
2020-12-30
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
A$33,700 deployed as $100 a week from 2020-01-01, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | A$14,421 |
| Steady weekly buys | A$14,904 |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | A$26,174 |
| Traded it perfectly | A$33,785 |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
The same $1,000, elsewhere
$1,000 at 2020's open, each valued at the latest close. Hindsight remains undefeated.
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