The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought Fortescue in 2007?
By 2007 Andrew Forrest's Fortescue had transformed from a speculative tiddler into a genuine iron-ore contender, racing to ship its first ore from the Pilbara into a China boom of seemingly bottomless appetite. The third-force miner that the established giants had laughed off was about to prove its doubters spectacularly wrong.
$100 on 2007-01-01, worth today
A$4,708
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of Fortescue bought at 2007's open (A$0.429) is worth A$4,708 — 47.1×.
total return · dividends reinvested · AUD
How much would $100 of Fortescue bought in 2007 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| A$100 | A$4,708 | 47.1× |
| A$1,000 | A$47,077 | 47.1× |
| A$10,000 | A$470,766 | 47.1× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did Fortescue do in 2007?
Opened
A$0.429
2007-01-01
Peaked
A$2.77
2007-12-27
Bottomed
A$0.428
2007-01-02
Closed
A$2.45
2007-12-30
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
A$101,500 deployed as $100 a week from 2007-01-01, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | A$4.8M |
| Steady weekly buys | A$1M |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | A$329,476 |
| Traded it perfectly | A$21.4M |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
The same $1,000, elsewhere
$1,000 at 2007's open, each valued at the latest close. Hindsight remains undefeated.
These were the round numbers. Run your real ones.
Your amount, your date, your certificate. Takes about a minute.
Calculate my failureAdjacent timelines