The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought Alphabet in 2015?
Google reorganised itself into Alphabet in 2015, walling off the search cash-cow from the moonshots so investors could finally see how absurdly profitable the core was. The market called it fully valued; the toll booth on the world's questions had years of compounding left.
$100 on 2015-01-02, worth today
US$1,370
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of Alphabet bought at 2015's open (US$26.24) is worth US$1,370 — 13.7×.
total return · dividends reinvested · USD
How much would $100 of Alphabet bought in 2015 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| US$100 | US$1,370 | 13.7× |
| US$1,000 | US$13,705 | 13.7× |
| US$10,000 | US$137,048 | 13.7× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did Alphabet do in 2015?
Opened
US$26.24
2015-01-02
Peaked
US$39.35
2015-12-29
Bottomed
US$24.63
2015-01-12
Closed
US$38.56
2015-12-31
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
US$59,800 deployed as $100 a week from 2015-01-02, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | US$819,548 |
| Steady weekly buys | US$317,274 |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | US$213,514 |
| Traded it perfectly | US$354,911 |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
The same $1,000, elsewhere
$1,000 at 2015's open, each valued at the latest close. Hindsight remains undefeated.
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