The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought Nvidia in 2015?
Before the AI boom, Nvidia was a company that made graphics cards for gamers. $100 here is the regret that launched a thousand group chats.
$100 on 2015-01-02, worth today
US$42,535
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of Nvidia bought at 2015's open (US$0.482) is worth US$42,535 — 425×.
total return · dividends reinvested · USD
How much would $100 of Nvidia bought in 2015 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| US$100 | US$42,535 | 425× |
| US$1,000 | US$425,352 | 425× |
| US$10,000 | US$4.3M | 425× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did Nvidia do in 2015?
Opened
US$0.482
2015-01-02
Peaked
US$0.822
2015-12-04
Bottomed
US$0.459
2015-01-07
Closed
US$0.803
2015-12-31
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
US$59,800 deployed as $100 a week from 2015-01-02, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | US$25.4M |
| Steady weekly buys | US$3.9M |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | US$1.3M |
| Traded it perfectly | US$27.7M |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
The same $1,000, elsewhere
$1,000 at 2015's open, each valued at the latest close. Hindsight remains undefeated.
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