The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought Tesla in 2020?
Joined the S&P 500, split its shares twice, and went vertical. The year retail traders learned the word 'parabolic.'
$100 on 2020-01-02, worth today
US$1,417
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of Tesla bought at 2020's open (US$28.68) is worth US$1,417 — 14.2×.
total return · dividends reinvested · USD
How much would $100 of Tesla bought in 2020 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| US$100 | US$1,417 | 14.2× |
| US$1,000 | US$14,169 | 14.2× |
| US$10,000 | US$141,692 | 14.2× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did Tesla do in 2020?
Opened
US$28.68
2020-01-02
Peaked
US$235.22
2020-12-31
Bottomed
US$24.08
2020-03-18
Closed
US$235.22
2020-12-31
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
US$33,700 deployed as $100 a week from 2020-01-02, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | US$477,503 |
| Steady weekly buys | US$77,726 |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | US$65,602 |
| Traded it perfectly | US$1.3M |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
The same $1,000, elsewhere
$1,000 at 2020's open, each valued at the latest close. Hindsight remains undefeated.
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