The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought ANZ in 2009?
ANZ started 2009 near its GFC floor, its Asian-expansion ambitions colliding with a global credit freeze. The fully-franked yield on offer at these prices was the kind that only appears when everyone is terrified.
$100 on 2009-01-01, worth today
A$597
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of ANZ bought at 2009's open (A$5.72) is worth A$597 — 5.97×.
total return · dividends reinvested · AUD
How much would $100 of ANZ bought in 2009 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| A$100 | A$597 | 5.97× |
| A$1,000 | A$5,975 | 5.97× |
| A$10,000 | A$59,748 | 5.97× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did ANZ do in 2009?
Opened
A$5.72
2009-01-01
Peaked
A$9.65
2009-10-14
Bottomed
A$4.48
2009-02-11
Closed
A$9.09
2009-12-30
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
A$91,100 deployed as $100 a week from 2009-01-01, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | A$544,306 |
| Steady weekly buys | A$212,551 |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | A$172,909 |
| Traded it perfectly | A$248,434 |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
The same $1,000, elsewhere
$1,000 at 2009's open, each valued at the latest close. Hindsight remains undefeated.
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