The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought CSL in 2009?
The former Commonwealth Serum Laboratories entered 2009 near $32 as a global blood-plasma and vaccines leader, sold down with the rest of the market in the GFC. A defensive, recession-resistant healthcare compounder on sale — the kind of thing fear prices badly.
$100 on 2009-01-01, worth today
A$427
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of CSL bought at 2009's open (A$25.18) is worth A$427 — 4.27×.
total return · dividends reinvested · AUD
How much would $100 of CSL bought in 2009 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| A$100 | A$427 | 4.27× |
| A$1,000 | A$4,270 | 4.27× |
| A$10,000 | A$42,697 | 4.27× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did CSL do in 2009?
Opened
A$25.18
2009-01-01
Peaked
A$28.64
2009-02-25
Bottomed
A$21.88
2009-06-05
Closed
A$24.82
2009-12-30
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
A$91,100 deployed as $100 a week from 2009-01-01, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | A$388,969 |
| Steady weekly buys | A$143,557 |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | A$132,685 |
| Traded it perfectly | A$406,504 |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
The same $1,000, elsewhere
$1,000 at 2009's open, each valued at the latest close. Hindsight remains undefeated.
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