The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought Goodman Group in 2012?
Post-rescue and post-consolidation, Goodman was a leaner landlord betting the future on warehouses and distribution sheds just as e-commerce began to need them. Unloved and rebuilding — right before 'logistics real estate' became the most fashionable phrase in property.
$100 on 2012-01-02, worth today
A$1,585
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of Goodman Group bought at 2012's open (A$1.99) is worth A$1,585 — 15.8×.
total return · dividends reinvested · AUD
How much would $100 of Goodman Group bought in 2012 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| A$100 | A$1,585 | 15.8× |
| A$1,000 | A$15,846 | 15.8× |
| A$10,000 | A$158,464 | 15.8× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did Goodman Group do in 2012?
Opened
A$1.99
2012-01-02
Peaked
A$3.34
2012-12-09
Bottomed
A$1.99
2012-01-02
Closed
A$3.17
2012-12-30
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
A$75,400 deployed as $100 a week from 2012-01-02, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | A$1.2M |
| Steady weekly buys | A$318,924 |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | A$300,916 |
| Traded it perfectly | A$385,623 |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
The same $1,000, elsewhere
$1,000 at 2012's open, each valued at the latest close. Hindsight remains undefeated.
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