The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought Intel in 2020?
Apple announced it was dropping Intel chips for its own silicon, and the foundry that defined Moore's Law was visibly falling behind TSMC. The 'is the giant finished?' year, bought against a wall of doubt.
$100 on 2020-01-02, worth today
US$232
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of Intel bought at 2020's open (US$53.67) is worth US$232 — 2.32×.
total return · dividends reinvested · USD
How much would $100 of Intel bought in 2020 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| US$100 | US$232 | 2.32× |
| US$1,000 | US$2,321 | 2.32× |
| US$10,000 | US$23,212 | 2.32× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did Intel do in 2020?
Opened
US$53.67
2020-01-02
Peaked
US$60.40
2020-01-24
Bottomed
US$39.54
2020-03-16
Closed
US$45.04
2020-12-31
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
US$33,700 deployed as $100 a week from 2020-01-02, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | US$78,224 |
| Steady weekly buys | US$119,570 |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | US$101,713 |
| Traded it perfectly | US$388,016 |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
The same $1,000, elsewhere
$1,000 at 2020's open, each valued at the latest close. Hindsight remains undefeated.
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