The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought Palantir in 2023?
The stock opened 2023 in the single digits, around $6, still unprofitable in the eyes of most and freshly ejected from the 2021 hype. Then it launched its AI platform and posted consecutive GAAP profits — and the joke stopped being funny.
$100 on 2023-01-03, worth today
US$2,003
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of Palantir bought at 2023's open (US$6.39) is worth US$2,003 — 20.0×.
total return · dividends reinvested · USD
How much would $100 of Palantir bought in 2023 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| US$100 | US$2,003 | 20.0× |
| US$1,000 | US$20,030 | 20.0× |
| US$10,000 | US$200,297 | 20.0× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did Palantir do in 2023?
Opened
US$6.39
2023-01-03
Peaked
US$21.34
2023-11-20
Bottomed
US$6.32
2023-01-05
Closed
US$17.17
2023-12-29
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
US$18,000 deployed as $100 a week from 2023-01-03, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | US$360,535 |
| Steady weekly buys | US$89,744 |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | US$27,361 |
| Traded it perfectly | US$144,210 |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
The same $1,000, elsewhere
$1,000 at 2023's open, each valued at the latest close. Hindsight remains undefeated.
These were the round numbers. Run your real ones.
Your amount, your date, your certificate. Takes about a minute.
Calculate my failureAdjacent timelines