The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought Pro Medicus in 2016?
In July 2016 Pro Medicus landed a multi-million-dollar deal to roll Visage 7 across the Mayo Clinic, validation that turned a micro-cap into a market darling. The transaction-based licensing model meant revenue scaled with every scan — and the scans only multiplied.
$100 on 2016-01-03, worth today
A$5,024
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of Pro Medicus bought at 2016's open (A$3.26) is worth A$5,024 — 50.2×.
total return · dividends reinvested · AUD
How much would $100 of Pro Medicus bought in 2016 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| A$100 | A$5,024 | 50.2× |
| A$1,000 | A$50,236 | 50.2× |
| A$10,000 | A$502,359 | 50.2× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did Pro Medicus do in 2016?
Opened
A$3.26
2016-01-03
Peaked
A$6.28
2016-08-25
Bottomed
A$2.65
2016-02-29
Closed
A$4.59
2016-12-29
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
A$54,600 deployed as $100 a week from 2016-01-03, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | A$2.7M |
| Steady weekly buys | A$610,684 |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | A$587,042 |
| Traded it perfectly | A$2.8M |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
The same $1,000, elsewhere
$1,000 at 2016's open, each valued at the latest close. Hindsight remains undefeated.
These were the round numbers. Run your real ones.
Your amount, your date, your certificate. Takes about a minute.
Calculate my failureAdjacent timelines