The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought Woodside in 2016?
Oil bottomed near US$30 a barrel in early 2016 and Woodside started the year deeply out of favour. The energy investor who bought during the despair caught the recovery — and a fully-franked income stream.
$100 on 2016-01-03, worth today
A$194
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of Woodside bought at 2016's open (A$16.06) is worth A$194 — 1.94×.
total return · dividends reinvested · AUD
How much would $100 of Woodside bought in 2016 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| A$100 | A$194 | 1.94× |
| A$1,000 | A$1,945 | 1.94× |
| A$10,000 | A$19,447 | 1.94× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did Woodside do in 2016?
Opened
A$16.06
2016-01-03
Peaked
A$17.96
2016-12-13
Bottomed
A$13.28
2016-04-05
Closed
A$17.55
2016-12-29
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
A$54,600 deployed as $100 a week from 2016-01-03, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | A$106,183 |
| Steady weekly buys | A$85,905 |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | A$97,366 |
| Traded it perfectly | A$152,685 |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
The same $1,000, elsewhere
$1,000 at 2016's open, each valued at the latest close. Hindsight remains undefeated.
These were the round numbers. Run your real ones.
Your amount, your date, your certificate. Takes about a minute.
Calculate my failureAdjacent timelines