The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought Super Micro in 2020?
For years Super Micro was an obscure server-maker, briefly delisted over an accounting probe and ignored by Wall Street. It sat quietly assembling the exact boxes that AI data centres would soon need by the millions.
$100 on 2020-01-02, worth today
US$1,289
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of Super Micro bought at 2020's open (US$2.36) is worth US$1,289 — 12.9×.
total return · dividends reinvested · USD
How much would $100 of Super Micro bought in 2020 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| US$100 | US$1,289 | 12.9× |
| US$1,000 | US$12,890 | 12.9× |
| US$10,000 | US$128,904 | 12.9× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did Super Micro do in 2020?
Opened
US$2.36
2020-01-02
Peaked
US$3.23
2020-06-19
Bottomed
US$1.60
2020-03-18
Closed
US$3.17
2020-12-31
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
US$33,700 deployed as $100 a week from 2020-01-02, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | US$434,406 |
| Steady weekly buys | US$155,279 |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | US$62,919 |
| Traded it perfectly | US$9.7M |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
The same $1,000, elsewhere
$1,000 at 2020's open, each valued at the latest close. Hindsight remains undefeated.
These were the round numbers. Run your real ones.
Your amount, your date, your certificate. Takes about a minute.
Calculate my failureAdjacent timelines