The Bureau of Historic Losses · Counterfactual Division
What if you'd bought Super Micro in 2023?
As the AI boom erupted, Super Micro's liquid-cooled servers became suddenly indispensable and the stock went vertical — a 2024 S&P 500 entry followed. Buying here also bought the volatility: a fresh Hindenburg short report and audit drama would later halve it.
$100 on 2023-01-03, worth today
US$363
As of 2026-06-12, $100 of Super Micro bought at 2023's open (US$8.39) is worth US$363 — 3.63×.
total return · dividends reinvested · USD
How much would $100 of Super Micro bought in 2023 be worth today?
| You'd have put in | You'd have now | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| US$100 | US$363 | 3.63× |
| US$1,000 | US$3,632 | 3.63× |
| US$10,000 | US$36,322 | 3.63× |
Lump sum on the year's first trading day, total return (dividends reinvested, splits adjusted), valued at the latest close. Past performance isn't a promise — it's a taunt.
What did Super Micro do in 2023?
Opened
US$8.39
2023-01-03
Peaked
US$35.33
2023-08-07
Bottomed
US$7.09
2023-01-19
Closed
US$28.43
2023-12-29
Levels are dividend-adjusted, so historical figures look lower than the headline price of the day — that's the total-return lens, and it's the honest one.
Would steady buying have beaten going all in?
US$18,000 deployed as $100 a week from 2023-01-03, under four temperaments — same money, different nerves.
| All in on day one | US$65,380 |
| Steady weekly buys | US$19,488 |
| Sold dips, rebought rallies | US$15,192 |
| Traded it perfectly | US$794,987 |
“Traded it perfectly” requires knowing the future. Nobody knew the future.
The same $1,000, elsewhere
$1,000 at 2023's open, each valued at the latest close. Hindsight remains undefeated.
These were the round numbers. Run your real ones.
Your amount, your date, your certificate. Takes about a minute.
Calculate my failureAdjacent timelines